Multi-scale projections to quantify contributions, impacts, and uncertainties on climate, weather, air quality, and health
WP6 aims to advance the global climate assessments (e.g., IPCC AR5 and AR6) and is therefore focused on producing future projections up to 2045-2055 with emphasis on changes in climate, weather, and air quality.
These overarching assessments typically use ~100km resolution at global scales down to 20km at regional scales.
For selected urban areas, WP6 will strive for even high resolutions to investigate the climate change signals driven by specific non-CO2 radiative forcers on urban climate.
The analyses will address:
- Regional climate-driven weather extremes – heat waves, drought days, floods
- Air pollution-related exposure patterns for PM2.5 and O3 (and their precursors)
These will feed into WP 7.
A key goal of FOCI which will be undertaken by WP6 is to link national scale plans to the projected scenarios to ensure that the determined resulting societal impacts are more grounded in countries’ reality according to emissions from other regions and sectors.
WP 6 Co-leads: UH and Charles University
Ranjeet Sokhi
Ranjeet is the co-lead of WP6 as well as co-coordinator of FOCI. He is the Director of the Centre for Climate Change Research (C3R) at the University of Hertfordshire. Within FOCI, his team’s research is focused on improving higher resolution regional climate and air quality projections of the impacts related to non-CO2 radiative forcers.
Tomáš Halenka
Tomáš is a senior associate professor at Charles University in Prague, Czech Republic and is the coordinator of FOCI. His fields of expertise are regional climate modelling, coupling with chemistry-transport models and the impacts of regional climate change, particular in urban environments.
The main contribution from his team to WP6 is to improve the resolution of projections, using coupled modelling systems nested in global outputs, of the interactions between climate change, air-quality, and other non-CO2 forcers across the studied scales.
Other WP 6 Partners
